Are biotech stocks going to waste?
Biotech stocks were thought of as completely safe and lucrative investments over the last decade or two, and almost every financial expert never hesitated to recommend biotech stocks as top-notch. However, things aren’t looking that good lately.
Last week in San Francisco hundreds of biotech companies attended the J.P. Morgan’s annual biotech conference, and it seems that it didn’t turn out to be as successful as many hoped. Investors are bailing out — they finally realized that waiting for a new drug to get developed to get rich isn’t really the way to go, especially after finding out that new drugs in human testing fail about 87% of the time. Even the group that’s supposed to endorse investing in biotech – Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO) reported that they predict that 45% of publicly traded biotech companies will run out of cash in the next 6 to 12 months.
However, BIO hopes that the situation should get better because they asked the incoming Obama administration for a biotech stimulus plan, but gave the odds of such a bailout succeeding in Congress at only one in three.
“The biotech model over the last 25 years has been to assemble innovative science, raise two or three rounds of venture capital, advance your R&D program to a point at which you can go public, and then continually tap the public markets to meet your capital needs,” said Richard Aldrich of RA Capital Management. “But the backdrop for all of this was the greatest bull market in history,” Aldrich added. “It was a very permissive financial environment, which is what early stage biotech needs. The bull market has ended, and the biotech model we all came to know and love, has ended with it.”
It seems that now is a good time to buy, if you have the funds. However, one needs to be careful, because there aren’t many “safe bets” out there.
Source: portfolio.com/news-markets/top-5/2009/01/19/Biotech-Boom-Finally-Peters-Out
